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El-Halfawy: Expectations of a 1-2% cut in interest rate at CBE’s meeting

Businessmen Team stock_market 12 February 2026 12:48 PM
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El-Halfawy: Expectations of a 1-2% cut in interest rate at CBE’s meeting

Mahmoud El-Halfawy, governance and compliance expert, predicted that the Central Bank of Egypt (CBE) will move toward cutting interest rates by 100 basis points during the first Monetary Policy Committe (MPC) meeting of 2026.

El-Halfawy noted that this anticipated step aligns with the wave of rate cuts initiated by the central bank last year, during which the CBE reduced interest rates five times by a total of 725 basis points, the most recent of which took place in December 2025. Current interest rates stand at 21% for lending and 20% for deposits.

He added that the reason behind the expected rate cut is the CBE’s objective to reduce inflation to 7% by the end of 2026. Current annual inflation recorded 12.3% in December 2025, supported by relative stability in the prices of food and beverages.

El-Halfawy explained that lowering interest rates will offer an opportunity to reduce borrowing costs for investors without threatening price stability.

At the end of last year, the CBE’s Monetary Policy Committee decided to cut the overnight deposit and lending rates, as well as the main operation rate, by 100 basis points to 20%, 21%, and 20.5%, respectively.

 It also reduced the credit and discount rate by 100 basis points to 20.5%.The CBE stated that the decision reflects the MPC’s assessment of recent inflation developments and its outlook since the previous meeting. It added that global economic growth continues to recover moderately, although the outlook remains clouded by uncertainty over trade policies, ongoing geopolitical tensions, and a slowdown in global demand growth.