الرئيسية / اقتصاد / Bishai: Inflation expected to drop to around 14% in Q4 2025

Bishai: Inflation expected to drop to around 14% in Q4 2025

فريق رجال الأعمال اقتصاد 04 October 2025 09:05 PM
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Bishai: Inflation expected to drop to around 14% in Q4 2025

Engineer Matta Bishai, head of the Domestic Trade Committee of the Importers Division of the Federation of Egyptian Chambers of Commerce, confirmed that the Central Bank of Egypt's Monetary Policy Committee’s decision to cut key interest rates by 1% came in light of several indicators. These include the recent decline in inflation rates, the 14.7% growth in the manufacturing sector, the 17.3% growth in the tourism sector, and the increase in net international reserves to more than $49 billion.

Bishai explained that the decision was supported by a decline in the annual inflation rate in Egyptian cities to 12% in August, compared to 13.9% in July. He noted that data from the Central Agency for Public Mobilization and Statistics reflected the start of a downward trend in price hikes. Core inflation, which excludes volatile items such as food and fuel, also fell to 10.7% in August from 11.6% in July.

This decline, he said, reassured the Central Bank that the tight monetary policy pursued over the past two years is beginning to yield results. Inflation is expected to continue easing to around 14% in the fourth quarter of 2025, before reaching the official target of 7% (±2%) by the end of 2026.

In press statements, Bishai stressed that the decision will help reduce the cost of servicing public debt and ease financing costs for institutions and companies. He added that it reflects the economy’s ability to absorb past shocks and maintain relative price stability.

The decision, he noted, will also directly benefit citizens by reducing the burden of loans, whether for car purchases or housing units. This will boost purchasing power and generate overall savings, giving strong momentum to economic activity.

Bishai concluded that current monetary policies, combined with improved foreign investment flows and a stable exchange rate, will support the downward path of inflation in the coming period. He emphasized that the move sends a positive signal to global markets, showing that Egypt is moving steadily toward economic stability. This, in turn, could enhance investor confidence and lower the cost of external borrowing.